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SBG Global Opening Line: Florida _ 3 (2007-03-31)
Sports Handicappers Betting Articles:Ron Raymond

 

NCAA Final Four

UCLA (30-5) vs. Florida (33-5)

8:45 pm Eastern

CBS

SBG Global Opening Line: Florida – 3, Total 129.5

 

The UCLA Bruins and Florida Gators meet in a rematch of last year’s title game that Florida won easily.  In order for this game to be different than last year’s the Bruins must play defense. "The bottom line is we know that in order to win these games, you have to play defense," UCLA forward Luc Richard Mbah a Moute said. "You look at the Kansas game; we had 25 turnovers and still were able to win. That's our defense.” Early betting on this game has the gambling public placing more bets on UCLA but putting more money on Florida at SBG Global.

 

The Gators won last year’s game 73-57 and have the same starting lineup that the Bruins couldn’t stop last year. All five starters are scoring in double figures. "They're very talented at every spot and they require a lot of attention," UCLA assistant coach Kerry Keating said. "There's no secret why their numbers are so good. It's going to be a big challenge for our guys. And I think they'll be up to that challenge."

 

Florida is a 3 point favorite with a total of 130 at SBG Global.

 

The Bruins finished second in scoring defense in the Pac-10 this season, limiting teams to an average of 59.5 points. They've improved on that in the NCAA tournament, holding all four teams to 55 or fewer points.  The Bruins may have an edge this season as Josh Shipp missed last year’s game but is playing superbly this year. "Josh has really, really done a good job defensively for us," coach Ben Howland said.

 

Florida will try and do what they did last year.  There's Humphrey, the 3-point specialist, there’s Corey Brewer, who shut down UCLA's Arron Afflalo during the final last year; there is Joakim Noah, Taurean Green and Al Horford.  Florida could be distracted with all of the talk about Billy Donovan being interested in the Kentucky job but so far it has not been an issue. "He really hasn't addressed it to us because we don't think it's a concern," reserve forward Chris Richard said. "If it came down to it, he'd probably talk about it after the season is over. We don't really see that happening."

 

The Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog. The Bruins are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games as an underdog. The Bruins are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. the SEC. The Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games. The Bruins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games. The Bruins are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games.

 

The Gators are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games. The Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. The Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. The Gators are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 neutral site games as a favorite.

 

The Under is 4-0 in the Bruins last 4 neutral site games. The Under is 4-0 in the Bruins last 4 overall. The Under is 6-1 in the Bruins last 7 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog. The Over is 4-1 in the Gators last 5 NCAA Tournament games. The Over is 8-3 in the Gators last 11 neutral site games as a favorite.

 

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