There is certainly not a lot of stock that you can put into NFL preseason football as it pertains to wins and losses. Making any projection as to how a specific team is going to do in the regular season based on their preseason record is absolutely ludicrous and most of all misleading.

I always preach that if you are going to wager on preseason football then tread lightly even when a very favorable situation is presented to us. There are just too many intangible and miscellaneous circumstances that can transpire in a preseason game that can’t be accounted for. However there are some advantageous situations that arise during the course of the preseason as it applies to the pointspread.

One of my favorite situations in the preseason starts with getting an underdog of 6.5 or more points. Just from a practical sense it is hard to justify any team worthy of being a sizeable favorite during these meaningless games. The underdog becomes an even better value in this scenario if they are coming off a resounding SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by a touchdown or more and allowed 29 points or more to their opponent in the process. Since 1987 the underdog in that situation is an unbelievable 19-1 ATS and has actually won 13 of those 20 games outright. In any event still continue to tread lightly to the real show begins.

Any NFL Preseason underdog of 6.5 or more that is off a SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 7.0 or more points, and allowed 29 or more points is 19-1 ATS since 1985. The underdog is also 13-7 SU in those situations.