| NBA Early Season Surprises (2009-11-30) |
| Sports Handicappers Betting Articles:Jim Feist |
<!--[if gte mso 9]&gt; Normal 0 MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 &lt;![endif]--><!--[if !mso]&gt;--><strong><span style="font-family: Arial;">by Jim Feist </span></strong>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: Arial;">Preseason prognosticators and handicapping analysis focuses in on what they expect to happen, based on the draft and offseason moves, but there are always surprises at the start of each season.<span> </span>Here's a look at some of the early NBA surprises, good, bad and ugly.<span> </span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-family: Arial;">Hawks:</span></strong><span style="font-family: Arial;"> Didn't we see this athletic young team taking </span><span style="font-family: Arial;">Boston</span><span style="font-family: Arial;"> to seven games in the playoffs? That was two years ago. The hype from that performance seems to be finally bearing fruit after last season's injury-plagued campaign. The Hawks surprised everyone, including oddsmakers, as the started 10-2 SU, 11-1 ATS. </span><a href="http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/jimfeist/files/2009/11/orlando-magic-2.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-340" src="http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/jimfeist/files/2009/11/orlando-magic-2.jpg" alt="" width="199" height="300" /></a></p>
<p class="inside-copy" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt"><span style="font-family: Arial;"><span> </span>On sheer depth and talent alone you can see why this team is playing so well: Josh Smith, Marvin Williams and Al Horford in the frontcourt, Jamal Crawford, Joe Johnson and Mike Bibby in the backcourt. This team is loaded with offensive options, ranked fifth in the NBA in points scored. That explains a sizzling 10-4 over the total start to the season. But is their defense strong enough to put them in the NBA elite? They are 19<sup>th</sup> in the league allowing over 45% shooting by opponents, an area they will need to improve. </span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-family: Arial;">Bucks:</span></strong><span style="font-family: Arial;"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial;">Milwaukee</span><span style="font-family: Arial;"> has been a big surprise. Forget about Michael Redd, who hasn’t been healthy, the guy leading the offense is 20-year old point guard Brandon Jennings. </span><span style="font-family: Arial;">Jennings</span><span style="font-family: Arial;"> appears to be the clear frontrunner to win the Rookie of the Year award and has been absolutely stellar to start the season. He is averaging 25 points, 5.9 assists, 4.6 rebounds and 2.7 treys. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: Arial;"><span> </span>After a slow start on offense, the Bucks ripped off a stretch going over the total in six of seven games. Bucks center Andrew Bogut will be out two to four weeks after suffering a leg muscle strain and contusion during last week's 99-85 win against </span><span style="font-family: Arial;">New Jersey</span><span style="font-family: Arial;">. Like many young teams, the Bucks have been great at home but have a losing road mark. </span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-family: Arial;">Blazers:</span></strong><span style="font-family: Arial;"> We've all been waiting the last two years for all this talent to begin to mesh and it is happening. This is a deep, talented young team for Coach Nate McMillan. There's probably too much focus and high expectations for Greg Oden, but what's great about what the Blazers are doing is asking him to be more of a role player, concentrating on defense and rebounding. It is working, as not only is </span><span style="font-family: Arial;">Portland</span><span style="font-family: Arial;"> winning but they are tops in the NBA in points allowed. They started 11-5 under the total. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: Arial;"><span> </span>There is plenty of star power alongside Oden with sparkplugs Brandon Roy and Andre Miller in the backcourt, plus LaMarcus Aldridge and 30-year old role playing Center Joel Przybilla up front. Role players can be just as significant as stars on winning teams. Last year they struggled on the road, but this year's team has improved significantly away from home. They should be a force in the West all season. </span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-family: Arial;">Suns:</span></strong><span style="font-family: Arial;"> Dump Shaq and the half-court game, which was a failure last season, and get back to the uptempo game with Steve Nash running the show. It sounds simple, but that's what the Suns have done and it's worked during a blistering start. Despite starting the year with twice as many road games as home contests, the Suns have been red-hot. </span><span style="font-family: Arial;">Phoenix</span><span style="font-family: Arial;"> is tops in the NBA in three-point shooting, a sizzling 44%.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: Arial;"><span> </span>Nash has Amare Stoudemire and Jason Richardson to dish the ball off to, while role players Channing Frye, Grant Hill and Leandro Barbosa have been solid. They opened eyes the first month of the season with a 4-1 SU/ATS East Coast trip, even winning at </span><span style="font-family: Arial;">Boston</span><span style="font-family: Arial;">, 110-103 as a +10 dog. In fact, they are 3-1 SU/ATS as a dog this season. </span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><strong><span style="font-family: Arial;">Mavericks: </span></strong><span style="font-family: Arial;">It's no secret how the Dallas Mavericks are surprising opponents early in the season: Running! </span><span style="font-family: Arial;">Dallas</span><span style="font-family: Arial;"> loves the uptempo game, in the Top 10 in scoring. What is surprising is their attention to defense, allowing 44% shooting by opponents, fifth-best in the league. That has been a weakness in the past, but not this year – at least not yet. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: Arial;"><span> </span>Of greater concern is probably age, with 31-year old Dirk Nowitzki, 36-year old Jason Kidd and 31-year old Shawn Marion carrying the offense. It may not be a factor now, but over an 82-game grind, will all that wear and tear have a toll on some of those 30-something legs? </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: Arial;"><span> </span>They had an embarrassing defeat at home last week, as the the six-man Warriors slammed the door on the Mavericks, in a 111-103 upset. The Warriors had three men play all 48 minutes and used only six players for the entire game! The Mavs can lack focus at times. "It came back to bite us," Mavs center Drew Gooden said. "We've got to know that we've got to put games away."<span> </span></span></p>
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